2024-12-13 07:55:00
The actual average weekly salary in November in the United States increased by 1% year-on-year. According to the data of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the actual average weekly salary in November increased by 0.3% month-on-month. The actual average hourly wage in November was flat, and the actual average hourly wage in November increased by 1.3% year-on-year. The actual average weekly salary increased by $3.71, reaching $385.99.Analyst Curran: There are almost no surprises in today's CPI data. The housing index rose by 0.3% in November, accounting for nearly 40% of the monthly increase in all projects.Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.
After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.When the Fed became cautious about cutting interest rates, the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, and the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, which was in line with economists' expectations and higher than the level of 2.6% in October. The data highlights people's concerns about sticky inflation after inflation rose in October. It is widely expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time in a row next week, but the pace of interest rate cuts next year is uncertain, because the Fed is striving to achieve the dual mission of keeping the inflation rate close to 2% and maintaining a healthy labor market. As interest rates reach a more "neutral" level, that is, high enough to curb inflation but low enough to protect the labor market, officials have discussed slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts. They say that if we act too fast, inflation may stay above the 2% target, but if we act too slowly, the unemployment rate may rise sharply.Blonde Technology: Shareholders holding more than 5% of the shares plan to transfer 2% of the shares internally. Blonde Technology announced that as of the announcement date, Ms. Xiong Haitao, a shareholder, holds 122 million shares of the company, accounting for 4.64% of the company's total share capital; Ms. Xiong Haitao and her concerted actions hold a total of 216 million shares, accounting for 8.2% of the total share capital. Ms. Xiong Haitao plans to sign an agreement with Warburg Wanying Private Equity Fund to increase it as a concerted action, and plans to transfer no more than 52.73 million shares to it through block trading, that is, no more than 2% of the total share capital. After the transfer is completed, Huabao Wanying will entrust Ms. Xiong Haitao with the right to vote on the shares. This internal transfer does not involve market reduction, and the shareholding ratio remains unchanged, which does not affect the company's control.
German Chancellor Scholz: It is necessary to prevent electricity prices from rising before 2025. A plan has been put forward to prevent the power grid funds from rising. The Bundestag can also vote on this before the Christmas holiday.German Foreign Ministry spokesperson: I hope to provide consular assistance to German citizens arrested in Russia, but I don't have much hope.After the US CPI was released, spot gold rose by $5 to $2,696.66 per ounce.